EXPECTED DEARNESS ALLOWANCE FROM JULY 2014
Recently
the issue of 50% DA Merger has reached the peak of expectations. Though
the central government knew this development, the govt has knowingly
said nothing against or favor of 50% DA Merger. Its silence on this
important issue simply added the fuel to the fire of expectation. After
the Election announcement, the hope on 50% DA merger is now slowly
eroding. Many central government employees Federations expressed their
disappointment with 7th CPC Terms of reference and merger of 50% DA was
not considered by central government. After this disappointment the
central government employees are now getting back to their routines. So
they have started thinking about what next..!
As the rate of dearness allowance from January 2014 has been
declared, the necessary order for payment of Additional installment of
Dearness Allowance from January 2014 has to be issued by Finance
Ministry. The enhanced rate of Dearness allowance will be paid w.e.f
.1.1.2014. The enhanced rate will be paid with the disbursement of
salary for the month of March 2014. The increase of dearness allowance
became due from January 2014 to February 2014 will be paid as arrears.
Let us move on to ‘Expected dearness allowance from July 2014’
what will be the rate of DA from July 2014 ?
The
AICPIN for Industrial Workers for Seven Months from July 2013 to
January 2014 have been released by Labour Bureau. The AICPIN for last
two Months i.e December2013 and January 2014 have been declined by 4 and
2 points and pegged at 239 and 237 respectively. At present it is quite
difficult to predict the trend of the Consumer Price Index for
remaining 5 Months, as so many factors like election and policies of new
government involved in it.
However, according to these seven months AICPIN, we have three Probabilities …
No
|
Probabilities
|
Expected Increase in Dearness allowance from July 2014
|
Expected DA from July 2014
|
1
|
If this declining trend continues for remaining 5 Months by 1 or 2 points
|
3%
|
103%
|
2
|
If the trend continues with movement between plus or Minus 2 points
|
5%
|
105%
|
3
|
If it continues with increasing trend by 2 points
|
7%
|
107%
|
According to the AICPIN released till now, the above possibilities have been arrived. As per above prediction the expected dearness allowance from July 2014 will be from 103% to 107%
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